Governor Tim Walz delivers his first State of the State address Wednesday at the Capitol to a joint session of the Minnesota House and Senate:

Hamline University analyst David Schultz says it’s an important speech for the governor:

“Sixty to 70 percent into the session and the governor’s basic proposals and basic program is stalled.”

The governor’s major points of difference with Republicans are taxes, spending and health care:

“At this point there is no incentive for the Republicans to support the gas tax increases or any of the tax increases or renewals.”

Schultz says a special session is “more than likely” but it’s too early to say whether there would be partial state government shutdown:

“Really do think Walz is at that point right now where, if he can’t break something (free) now, we’re tumbling to a really bad ending.”